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2016-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 9.4% 90.6% -
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +17.9 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rorie 34 9-20 1-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 19 4 -
M. Oguine 30 3-10 0-0 6-7 3 0 1 1 1 12 6 -
F. Krslovic 28 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 9 8 -
S. Pridgett 27 2-7 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
W. Wright 23 5-12 2-6 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 12 3 -
J. Lopez 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 6 3 -
J. Samuelson 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Dunn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Moorehead 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Gfeller 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Boucher 39 9-14 0-2 5-8 19 1 2 5 0 23 36 -
D. Ennis 36 7-10 3-5 5-7 1 3 0 2 2 22 16 -
P. Pritchard 31 4-7 2-5 2-2 1 4 2 0 1 12 11 -
T. Dorsey 31 2-9 1-6 1-3 7 3 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Bell 26 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 1 3 8 12 -
D. Brooks 14 3-8 0-1 0-1 0 4 1 0 3 6 0 -
C. Benson 13 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Smith 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
K. Bigby-Williams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Sorkin 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter