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2016-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +18 (102-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moritz Wagner 20 3-4 2-3 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Zak Irvin * 37 7-14 4-6 0-0 5 7 3 0 1 18 18 -
D. Walton Jr. * 33 2-7 1-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 32 4-11 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 11 4 -
D.J. Wilson * 24 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
Moritz Wagner * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 12 -
Duncan Robinson 22 4-8 2-4 3-4 4 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
Mark Donnal 18 5-5 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 10 -
Zavier Simpson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
Ibi Watson 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Jon Teske 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Fred Wright-Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sean Lonergan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Leaf * 36 10-14 1-2 0-1 8 2 0 0 0 21 17 -
Lonzo Ball * 34 5-8 4-7 5-10 7 4 3 0 3 19 22 -
Isaac Hamilton * 32 6-12 2-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 0 14 13 -
Bryce Alford * 32 6-10 3-6 3-3 4 3 0 0 2 18 13 -
Gyorgy Goloman * 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Aaron Holiday 27 6-7 5-5 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 17 12 -
Ike Anigbogu 25 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 4 0 6 11 -
Isaac Wulff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ikenna Okwarabizie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jerrold Smith 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
Alec Wulff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter