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2016-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.6% 30.4% -
Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Sumner * 36 3-11 1-4 3-4 2 5 0 1 1 10 6 -
T. Bluiett * 35 8-18 6-13 5-6 3 3 2 0 1 27 16 -
J.P. Macura * 34 3-9 0-5 2-2 5 4 3 0 1 8 10 -
M. Bernard * 27 0-3 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
R. Gaston * 25 7-8 0-0 0-3 11 0 0 2 0 14 19 -
K. Gates 16 0-5 0-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Goodin 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 -
S. O'Mara 7 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
T. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. White * 35 9-17 3-6 2-3 6 4 1 1 3 23 15 -
G. King * 33 5-8 3-4 3-4 10 1 0 0 1 16 18 -
J. Fortune * 27 0-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
X. Johnson * 27 7-11 3-4 1-2 7 0 0 0 4 18 10 -
W. Gordon * 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 5 0 1 1 5 9 -
B. Peters 17 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
T. Akyazili 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 -2 -
L. Siewert 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Brown 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter