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2016-12-03

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% +8.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans +7 (91-84). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Emery * 34 5-17 3-11 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 15 6 -
Eric Mika * 28 10-16 0-0 9-11 9 0 0 0 3 29 19 -
TJ Haws * 26 6-14 1-4 3-4 0 1 4 0 4 16 3 -
L.J. Rose * 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 5 5 2 -
Yoeli Childs * 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 2 1 5 10 -
Davin Guinn 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Kyle Davis 18 4-5 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 2 2 10 11 -
Braiden Shaw 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jamal Aytes 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Zach Frampton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Steven Beo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Colby Leifson 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Payton Dastrup 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan McLaughlin * 38 8-12 1-2 7-9 6 4 2 0 1 24 23 -
Elijah Stewart * 34 6-16 2-7 2-4 5 0 0 1 2 16 4 -
Chimezie Metu * 31 4-9 0-0 4-4 6 0 4 2 1 12 14 -
Shaqquan Aaron * 27 6-16 4-7 3-4 5 2 1 0 3 19 8 -
Nick Rakocevic * 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
De'Anthony Melton 30 3-6 2-3 4-6 8 6 2 1 3 12 20 -
Jonah Mathews 20 3-6 0-2 2-2 0 3 2 0 0 8 7 -
Charles Buggs 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kurt Karis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter