Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | +21.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +26.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +24 (96-72). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Childress * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Canty * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Ami Lakoju * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Christian Terrell * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Alex Hart | 26 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Clifton Powell Jr. | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Max Heidegger | 17 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 33 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bennie Boatwright * | 32 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Chimezie Metu * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Elijah Stewart * | 29 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Shaqquan Aaron * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jonah Mathews | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Rakocevic | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Charles Buggs | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Karis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samer Dhillon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter