Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.5% | 29.5% | -7.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Brown * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Harry Froling | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Ben Emelogu II | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dashawn McDowell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennie Boatwright * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Elijah Stewart * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chimezie Metu * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Shaqquan Aaron * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jonah Mathews | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Charles Buggs | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nick Rakocevic | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter