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2016-11-23

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +17 (127-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zane Najdawi * 31 11-19 2-2 4-4 6 1 0 2 3 28 15 -
Warren Sledge * 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 5 7 -
Frankie Johnson * 26 3-9 0-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 6 3 -
Quayson Williams * 24 5-11 3-8 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 13 7 -
Brian White * 18 5-6 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 12 8 -
Kaelon Harris 28 11-12 4-5 4-6 9 3 0 0 3 30 27 -
Preston Parks 23 4-14 1-7 4-4 1 6 2 1 3 13 6 -
Matt Frierson 12 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Ezekiel Balogun 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Leandro Allende 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tom Koopman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Obinna Oleka * 32 7-10 1-2 5-8 15 0 2 1 2 20 26 -
Sam Cunliffe * 32 7-12 3-4 6-9 10 5 1 0 4 23 23 -
Tra Holder * 32 7-14 0-4 8-8 2 6 1 0 2 22 15 -
Torian Graham * 31 7-16 4-9 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 19 9 -
Shannon Evans * 29 5-12 2-6 5-6 4 6 0 0 1 17 14 -
Kodi Justice 26 6-8 5-6 3-5 2 3 2 2 1 20 20 -
Ramon Vila 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Jethro Tshisumpa 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 2 4 -
Andre Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Maurice O'Field 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Austin Witherill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter