Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +3.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -12 (65-77). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 33 | 4-15 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Trey Kell * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dakarai Allen * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Zylan Cheatham * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Malik Pope * | 19 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Max Montana | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Valentine Izundu | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Shrigley | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Montaque Gill-Caesar | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Moore * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Domingo * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Singer * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Roger Moute A Bidias * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kameron Rooks * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Grant Mullins | 30 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Ivan Rabb | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Kingsley Okoroh | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Don Coleman | 17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter