Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +20 (88-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Williams * | 36 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brett Bailey * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Olin Carter * | 28 | 5-19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Nassir Barrino * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Neubauer * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mark Carbone | 28 | 2-13 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Frank Ryder | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Gray | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Bryce Alford * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 30 | 11-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter