Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +25 (67-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 34 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Young | 27 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. Jones | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Artis | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Jeter | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Milligan | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Luther | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Nix | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Manigault | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes | 34 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| D. Hall | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Thompson | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Jerome | 21 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Salt | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Guy | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Shayok | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Reuter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Bartley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gross Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter