Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -15 (55-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall | 37 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| K. Guy | 35 | 7-13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| L. Perrantes | 35 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| T. Jerome | 23 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Salt | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Diakite | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Shayok | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Reuter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith Jr. | 35 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| M. Rowan | 35 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 34 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Henderson | 31 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Abu | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Dorn | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Anya | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kirk | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Hicks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Kapita | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Brickhouse | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter