Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -18 (67-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson | 34 | 9-20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| J. Berry II | 32 | 6-16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 25 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nate Britt | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Luke Maye | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Young | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Artis | 35 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Chris Jones | 34 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rozelle Nix | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Corey Manigault | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justice Kithcart | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter