Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (65-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shayok * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 29 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Salt * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Thompson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Jerome | 15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Guy | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Reuter | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 31 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Luke Maye | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stilman White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shea Rush | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter