Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -24 (73-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 31 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 31 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Luke Maye | 23 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Nate Britt | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shea Rush | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith Jr. * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-9 | 8-12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 19 | - |
| M. Rowan * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Henderson * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Abu * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Kapita | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Anya | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Yurtseven | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kirk | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter