Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| V.J. King * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 35 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Levitch * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Spalding | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. McMahon | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Henderson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Stockman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wilkins * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Hall * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Salt * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Shayok * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Thompson | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Diakite | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Jerome | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Reuter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Guy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bartley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gross Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter