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2017-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.6% 33.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +16 (71-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mitchell * 38 6-17 0-5 4-4 4 3 4 0 2 16 8 -
V.J. King * 37 8-14 3-5 5-6 3 0 1 0 2 24 12 -
A. Mahmoud * 35 1-6 0-0 0-3 1 0 1 2 0 2 0 -
J. Johnson * 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
D. Levitch * 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
R. Spalding 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
R. McMahon 19 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 0 -
J. Henderson 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Stockman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Wilkins * 37 5-7 0-0 3-3 11 1 0 5 2 13 21 -
L. Perrantes * 34 5-12 2-7 6-7 4 3 0 0 1 18 12 -
D. Hall * 29 3-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 9 4 -
J. Salt * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 4 7 -
M. Shayok * 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
D. Thompson 20 4-7 0-1 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 10 10 -
M. Diakite 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
T. Jerome 14 0-1 0-1 3-3 1 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
J. Reuter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Guy 5 0-1 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Bartley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Gross Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter