Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Artis | 40 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Michael Young | 38 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Chris Jones | 36 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rozelle Nix | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard | 40 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 40 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jayson Tatum | 35 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Matt Jones | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Harry Giles | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter