Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.1% | 15.9% | -9.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jones * | 38 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 36 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harry Giles | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Farrell * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Steve Vasturia * | 36 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| V.J. Beachem * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Martinas Geben * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rex Pflueger | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Gibbs | 19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Austin Torres | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Ryan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elijah Burns | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Mooney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter