Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (85-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Abu * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Rowan * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith Jr. * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 5 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Henderson * | 19 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Kapita | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Dorn | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 37 | 9-17 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| D. Adel * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Levitch * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| V.J. King | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| R. Spalding | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. McMahon | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Stockman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter