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2017-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Log Adjusted 57.0% 43.0% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -17 (54-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 34 7-13 5-8 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 22 14 -
D. Hall * 32 5-9 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 11 13 -
I. Wilkins * 30 2-6 0-0 9-10 9 1 0 0 0 13 17 -
M. Shayok * 27 5-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 4 10 4 -
J. Salt * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Thompson 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 5 3 0 1 0 7 -
T. Jerome 14 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
K. Guy 11 2-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 -1 -
M. Diakite 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Reuter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vasturia * 37 4-10 2-5 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 14 11 -
M. Farrell * 35 3-6 1-3 1-3 2 5 1 0 2 8 8 -
B. Colson * 32 8-11 0-2 4-7 3 0 1 3 1 20 15 -
V.J. Beachem * 30 1-10 0-5 1-1 2 0 0 3 3 3 -5 -
M. Geben * 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Pflueger 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 4 5 -
T. Gibbs 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 3 3 -
M. Ryan 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Torres 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Burns 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mooney 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter