Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.1% | 38.9% | -2.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -17 (54-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| D. Hall * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| M. Shayok * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Salt * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Thompson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Jerome | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Guy | 11 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Diakite | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Reuter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vasturia * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Farrell * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Colson * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| V.J. Beachem * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | - |
| M. Geben * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Pflueger | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Gibbs | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Ryan | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Torres | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Burns | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mooney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter