Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adel | 36 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 23 | - |
| T. Hicks | 32 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | - |
| R. Spalding | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Levitch | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 20 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| V.J. King | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McMahon | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Stockman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bacon | 33 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes | 32 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Mann | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Isaac | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| M. Ojo | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| C. Koumadje | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Forrest | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Cofer | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| CJ Walker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Savoy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Allen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter