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2017-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Farrell * 37 6-13 3-4 2-2 0 7 1 0 6 17 6 -
B. Colson * 34 3-8 0-0 3-5 8 2 1 0 1 9 11 -
S. Vasturia * 33 6-15 4-6 2-2 3 1 1 1 4 18 5 -
V.J. Beachem * 31 5-11 4-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 14 6 -
M. Geben * 15 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
T. Gibbs 25 4-5 2-2 2-4 1 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
A. Torres 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
R. Pflueger 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 3 5 -
M. Ryan 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bacon * 31 5-13 1-3 0-3 4 2 1 0 3 11 2 -
X. Rathan-Mayes * 29 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 7 2 0 1 8 12 -
J. Isaac * 25 7-9 2-2 7-7 10 1 1 7 5 23 28 -
T. Mann * 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 4 1 1 0 4 -
M. Ojo * 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 2 -1 -
J. Smith 21 3-6 0-1 4-7 5 1 0 1 0 10 11 -
CJ Walker 18 3-5 1-2 2-3 0 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
P. Savoy 14 3-7 3-6 3-3 1 0 0 1 0 12 7 -
T. Forrest 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Koumadje 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
P. Cofer 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Allen 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Angola-Rodas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter