Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.7% | 20.3% | -7.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Matt Jones | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 36 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 9-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jayson Tatum | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Harry Giles | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Q. Snider | 35 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| R. Spalding | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| V.J. King | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Adel | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Hicks | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Levitch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter