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2017-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 29.0% 71.0% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 74.4% 25.6% -
Efficiency 90.0% 10.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Log Adjusted 81.9% 18.1% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Shayok 36 8-14 1-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 17 11 -
L. Perrantes 34 8-15 4-8 5-5 2 2 0 0 4 25 10 -
I. Wilkins 31 4-7 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 0 3 8 13 -
D. Thompson 25 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 7 9 -
D. Hall 20 2-3 2-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
K. Guy 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
J. Salt 18 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
M. Diakite 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
T. Jerome 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Reuter 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Blossomgame 38 10-14 0-1 2-3 6 2 0 1 2 22 15 -
A. Holmes 32 4-6 2-3 5-6 1 0 2 0 0 15 12 -
G. DeVoe 30 6-13 3-8 0-0 6 5 4 0 1 15 16 -
S. Mitchell 25 3-5 1-2 0-1 0 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
D. Grantham 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
E. Thomas 23 4-8 0-0 1-4 4 2 2 2 0 9 11 -
M. Reed 13 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
S. Djitte 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
T. Hudson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter