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2017-01-11

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% - โœ“
Margin 68.2% 31.8% -4.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% - โœ“

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6 (87-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 33 7-12 2-6 2-3 3 7 1 0 1 18 16 -
Kennedy Meeks * 33 9-18 0-0 0-0 11 1 3 3 2 18 16 -
Justin Jackson * 29 6-13 3-5 4-4 8 1 0 2 2 19 15 -
Kenny Williams * 25 3-3 2-2 4-6 0 5 2 0 2 12 14 -
Isaiah Hicks * 23 5-6 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 1 1 16 16 -
Nate Britt 18 1-2 1-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Theo Pinson 17 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Luke Maye 8 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 1 0 1 5 -
Seventh Woods 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tony Bradley 6 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Brandon Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keyshawn Woods * 36 3-10 0-3 3-5 3 7 0 0 1 9 8 -
D. Mitoglou * 31 3-10 1-4 6-6 7 1 0 3 2 13 12 -
Bryant Crawford * 23 7-10 3-4 5-8 3 4 1 0 2 22 18 -
Austin Arians * 22 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
John Collins * 20 3-8 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 2 2 6 3 -
Mitchell Wilbekin 28 4-10 3-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 11 3 -
Brandon Childress 17 4-9 2-6 6-7 3 0 1 0 2 16 9 -
Doral Moore 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 2 2 8 -
Sam Japhet-Mathias 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Greg McClinton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter