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2017-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% -
Bradley-Terry 76.1% 23.9% -
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 73.5% 26.5% -
Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall * 39 6-13 2-6 1-1 9 1 1 1 0 15 14 -
L. Perrantes * 38 6-9 3-5 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 16 12 -
I. Wilkins * 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
K. Guy * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -4 -
J. Salt * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Shayok 30 6-13 2-4 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 14 5 -
D. Thompson 26 5-8 1-2 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 11 6 -
J. Reuter 23 5-9 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 10 3 -
M. Diakite 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Jerome 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Artis * 42 6-12 6-7 6-12 7 4 0 1 3 24 21 -
M. Young * 41 8-18 0-3 3-7 6 5 0 0 4 19 8 -
C. Johnson * 41 4-6 4-5 4-4 8 1 0 1 1 16 19 -
C. Jones * 38 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 3 0 0 2 5 7 -
S. Jeter * 30 5-7 3-5 3-4 8 3 0 0 0 16 20 -
R. Luther 20 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 8 4 -
J. Kithcart 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter