Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 39 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| D. Adel * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| V.J. King | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. McMahon | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Levitch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Hicks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Farrell * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| S. Vasturia * | 37 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| B. Colson * | 35 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| V.J. Beachem * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Geben * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Pflueger | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Gibbs | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Torres | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Ryan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter