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2017-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.3 โœ“ (34.7 off)
Pythagorean 17.4% 82.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +53 (110-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Lammers * 29 3-9 0-0 3-4 8 3 1 0 2 9 10 -
Quinton Stephens * 29 3-7 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 9 9 -
Justin Moore * 28 5-12 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 11 1 -
Josh Okogie * 28 5-12 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 1 4 11 3 -
Tadric Jackson * 19 4-9 1-5 2-6 3 1 0 0 0 11 6 -
Josh Heath 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kellen McCormick 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Corey Heyward 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sylvester Ogbonda 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Christian Matthews 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Jodan Price 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 28 8-15 1-7 2-3 6 4 4 2 2 19 18 -
Amile Jefferson * 27 4-8 0-0 6-8 7 3 0 0 1 14 15 -
Grayson Allen * 27 3-5 2-4 7-7 3 7 1 0 1 15 20 -
Luke Kennard * 26 6-7 4-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 16 14 -
Harry Giles * 17 5-12 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 0 1 10 10 -
Frank Jackson 24 5-9 4-7 1-1 2 4 1 0 0 15 13 -
Matt Jones 19 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 14 9 -
Marques Bolden 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Antonio Vrankovic 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -
Jack White 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Nick Pagliuca 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Justin Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter