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2016-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.4% 53.6% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (58-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bacon * 28 11-18 6-9 1-4 1 0 2 0 1 29 13 -
J. Isaac * 28 1-6 0-1 3-5 9 0 0 2 1 5 9 -
X. Rathan-Mayes * 27 2-5 1-2 5-6 4 3 0 0 0 10 12 -
T. Mann * 24 2-4 0-0 2-6 3 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
M. Ojo * 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. Forrest 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 0 2 -
J. Smith 15 1-2 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 1 2 3 3 -
P. Cofer 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
B. Angola-Rodas 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
CJ Walker 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
C. Koumadje 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 33 4-9 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 10 2 -
I. Wilkins * 29 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 3 1 5 10 -
D. Hall * 29 4-9 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Salt * 22 0-2 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
D. Thompson * 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Guy 23 5-12 4-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 4 -
M. Diakite 18 2-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
M. Shayok 15 4-8 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 10 4 -
J. Reuter 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
T. Jerome 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter