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2016-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 โœ— (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.4% 28.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Farrell * 42 6-14 4-7 0-1 5 3 1 0 3 16 8 -
Bonzie Colson * 40 10-20 0-1 1-1 14 3 1 1 2 21 18 -
Steve Vasturia * 36 4-12 3-8 4-4 2 5 2 0 3 15 9 -
V.J. Beachem * 35 3-10 0-5 0-2 2 2 1 1 0 6 2 -
Martinas Geben * 28 4-4 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 0 0 10 17 -
Rex Pflueger 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 3 6 -
T.J. Gibbs 12 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Matt Ryan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Austin Torres 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamel Artis * 42 9-17 5-8 2-2 9 3 1 0 1 25 20 -
Cameron Johnson * 41 4-12 2-8 4-7 6 1 0 1 2 14 8 -
Michael Young * 40 10-24 4-9 1-1 7 7 2 0 1 25 16 -
Sheldon Jeter * 39 3-10 0-2 0-0 13 3 0 2 1 6 13 -
Justice Kithcart * 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Chris Jones 26 0-3 0-1 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 4 7 -
Ryan Luther 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
Jonathan Milligan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Rozelle Nix 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter