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2016-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 81.2% 18.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 65.0% 35.0% - โœ—
Margin 76.1% 23.9% -6.4 โœ— (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 81.2% 18.8% - โœ—

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 6-14 2-5 4-6 7 2 1 1 3 18 12 -
Luke Kennard * 38 11-19 3-6 9-11 7 1 1 0 2 34 22 -
Matt Jones * 38 2-8 0-4 0-1 1 1 2 1 0 4 1 -
Amile Jefferson * 37 4-9 0-0 1-2 12 3 1 2 4 9 14 -
Frank Jackson * 24 3-9 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 -3 -
Harry Giles 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Chase Jeter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Marques Bolden 3 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jack White 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Robinson * 39 5-11 2-3 2-2 5 7 1 0 2 14 14 -
A. Hill * 36 6-15 2-4 3-5 3 2 0 0 1 17 6 -
J. Bibbs * 24 6-9 4-5 2-2 1 1 2 1 1 18 13 -
C. Clarke * 16 5-5 0-0 3-6 6 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
K. Sy * 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
S. Allen 32 6-8 0-0 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 14 10 -
Z. LeDay 31 3-5 0-0 5-9 7 0 0 2 1 11 14 -
T. Outlaw 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter