Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 37 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Hall * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Salt * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Guy | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Reuter | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Diakite | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Shayok | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Jerome | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D. Adel * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Spalding | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Hicks | 19 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. McMahon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter