Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 36 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| K.J. Maura * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Will Darley * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Arkel Lamar | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Malcolm Brent | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Curran | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clarke * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| A. Hill * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 27 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Bibbs * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Sy * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Allen | 30 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Z. LeDay | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Outlaw | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Galloway | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter