Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (27.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +43 (85-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ashton | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Klint Carlson * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Morgan * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Juwan McCloud * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bennett Koch * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Brown | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Hunter Rhodes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin Dahl | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ted Friedman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke McDonnell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lincoln Conrey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rafael de Souza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Nate Britt | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Luke Maye | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Seventh Woods | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shea Rush | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter