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2016-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% -
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% -
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +24 (62-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dallier * 33 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 4 4 -
B. Reynolds * 33 4-11 2-6 0-0 7 1 2 0 4 10 5 -
S. Downey * 32 2-10 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 -6 -
T. Phills * 26 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 6 8 -
M. Oni * 25 1-8 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
A. Copeland 24 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
E. Anderson 13 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Williams 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Monroe 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 30 3-9 2-7 0-0 1 7 1 0 0 8 8 -
I. Wilkins * 27 2-5 0-0 1-1 9 3 2 1 0 5 15 -
D. Thompson * 23 5-8 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 4 11 3 -
D. Hall * 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Salt * 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
M. Shayok 20 6-14 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 15 8 -
M. Diakite 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 4 0 5 12 -
K. Guy 16 3-4 2-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
J. Reuter 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Jerome 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Gross Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bartley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter