Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +31 (78-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brown | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 6-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| R. Taylor | 26 | 2-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Gibson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Smith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Howard | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Benzon | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Traore | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Wiley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Vucetic | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Hainna | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Eaves | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 26 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Johnson | 24 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 23 | - |
| D. Adel | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Hicks | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Q. Snider | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| R. Spalding | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| V.J. King | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Levitch | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. McMahon | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Stockman | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Sharpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter