Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | +14.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +13 (72-59). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Robertson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tom Rivard * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Will Rayman | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 30 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dana Batt | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Nathan Harries | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shep Garner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Payton Banks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Tony Carr * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Mike Watkins * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Stevens * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Zemgulis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Julian Moore | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Josh Reaves | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter