Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Lewis II * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tarin Smith * | 33 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Isiaha Mike * | 26 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Darius Lewis * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Emile Blackman * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Spencer Littleson | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nakye Sanders | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Eric James | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Castro-Caneddy | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Robinson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Carr * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| P. Banks * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Garner * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Stevens * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 12-13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| M. Watkins * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Zemgulis | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| I. Washington | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter