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2017-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.4 โœ— (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 62.8% 37.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Loving * 38 4-12 2-7 5-7 6 0 2 0 4 15 7 -
Jae'Sean Tate * 36 6-8 0-0 0-2 9 0 2 0 6 12 9 -
Trevor Thompson * 24 3-5 0-0 5-7 7 1 1 0 2 11 13 -
Kam Williams * 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
C.J. Jackson * 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
JaQuan Lyle 25 7-10 2-2 0-0 6 4 2 0 3 16 15 -
Andre Wesson 21 2-3 2-3 1-2 2 1 0 2 0 7 9 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Carr * 38 8-16 2-6 3-4 5 4 0 0 4 21 10 -
S. Garner * 35 7-18 5-14 1-1 4 2 2 0 1 20 9 -
L. Stevens * 33 5-11 2-2 4-6 5 3 3 0 4 16 12 -
M. Watkins * 26 1-1 0-0 3-6 7 1 1 3 0 5 16 -
J. Reaves * 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 3 7 -
I. Washington 22 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Moore 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Zemgulis 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter