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St. John's Red Storm 86
@
Minnesota Golden Gophers 92
2016-11-18

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% - ✓
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 14.6% 85.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ponds * 39 8-15 5-9 2-2 8 0 1 1 3 23 15 -
M. LoVett * 38 11-27 3-5 6-8 2 5 1 0 2 31 10 -
B. Ahmed * 28 5-12 3-6 2-4 10 1 1 0 2 15 13 -
K. Yakwe * 27 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 1 3 8 -
Y. Sima * 18 2-6 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
F. Mussini 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Owens 14 2-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 2 5 8 -
M. Ellison 11 0-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Freudenberg 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Alibegovic 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amir Coffey * 36 9-14 1-4 11-12 4 1 2 0 1 30 22 -
Dupree McBrayer * 35 5-11 1-1 4-5 5 5 0 0 1 15 13 -
Nate Mason * 35 4-10 1-3 4-4 5 7 2 0 0 13 17 -
Reggie Lynch * 32 2-7 0-0 2-4 11 0 0 9 1 6 18 -
Jordan Murphy * 16 5-8 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 12 6 -
Eric Curry 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 2 1 2 5 -
Akeem Springs 10 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Ahmad Gilbert 8 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Michael Hurt 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Bakary Konate 3 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter