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2017-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kam Williams * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 5 11 -
Marc Loving * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 22 24 -
C.J. Jackson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 6 14 -
Jae'Sean Tate * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 7 6 -
Trevor Thompson * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 6 14 -
JaQuan Lyle 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 2 0 2 10 22 -
Andre Wesson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
David Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 2 2 4 17 28 -
Nick Ward * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 15 18 -
Eron Harris * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 6 15 -
Joshua Langford * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 7 11 -
L. Nairn Jr. * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
A. Ellis III 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 18 26 -
Cassius Winston 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 3 8 16 -
Kenny Goins 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Matt McQuaid 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Kyle Ahrens 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Matt Van Dyk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter