Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Swanigan * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 25 | - |
| D. Mathias * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Edwards * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| V. Edwards * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| R. Cline | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| I. Haas | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bridges * | 36 | 12-17 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 27 | - |
| E. Harris * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Langford * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Ward * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| C. Winston | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 21 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Goins | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. McQuaid | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Van Dyk | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter