Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +18 (65-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Coffey * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nate Mason * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Curry | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Akeem Springs | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Bakary Konate | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Roy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 22 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Conner George | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter