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Michigan State Spartans 75
@
Minnesota Golden Gophers 74
2016-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 86.1% 13.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% - ✓
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 ✓ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - ✓
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Ward * 33 9-14 0-0 4-13 10 0 1 4 2 22 21 -
Joshua Langford * 30 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 6 4 -
Matt McQuaid * 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 0 -
Cassius Winston * 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 6 2 0 2 2 5 -
Matt Van Dyk * 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 3 8 -
A. Ellis III 36 7-13 3-7 3-4 6 1 0 2 1 20 15 -
L. Nairn Jr. 29 5-11 2-5 1-2 4 3 0 0 0 13 9 -
Eron Harris 23 2-9 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Kyle Ahrens 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Kenny Goins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Murphy * 42 3-7 0-1 6-13 21 2 2 2 2 12 30 -
Amir Coffey * 41 5-15 1-4 6-8 3 3 2 0 2 17 8 -
Dupree McBrayer * 37 4-10 0-2 6-8 0 1 0 0 3 14 2 -
Nate Mason * 36 5-14 1-4 7-8 5 4 0 0 2 18 11 -
Reggie Lynch * 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
Eric Curry 21 0-0 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 1 2 4 10 -
Akeem Springs 17 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
Bakary Konate 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 2 5 -
Michael Hurt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter