Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | +1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -1 (74-75). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Ward * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cassius Winston * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 36 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 29 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Eron Harris | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Murphy * | 42 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-13 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 30 | - |
| Amir Coffey * | 41 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dupree McBrayer * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Nate Mason * | 36 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Eric Curry | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Akeem Springs | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bakary Konate | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Hurt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter