Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. LoVett * | 38 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| S. Ponds * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Yakwe * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Y. Sima * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Ahmed * | 19 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| F. Mussini | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Ellison | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| T. Owens | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Alibegovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Freudenberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 35 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 31 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 27 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Nick Ward | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter