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Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% +9.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +9.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (73-62). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Marcus LoVett * 38 6-18 1-4 7-8 7 2 1 0 1 20 11 -
Shamorie Ponds * 35 4-12 2-7 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 12 3 -
Kassoum Yakwe * 26 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 4 1 4 6 -
Yankuba Sima * 21 1-6 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Bashir Ahmed * 19 4-13 2-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Federico Mussini 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
Malik Ellison 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 9 -
Tariq Owens 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 4 5 -
Amar Alibegovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Richard Freudenberg 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darien Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 35 9-18 3-5 1-4 15 3 0 1 2 22 21 -
Matt McQuaid * 33 1-4 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Eron Harris * 31 3-13 2-9 6-6 7 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
Lourawls Nairn Jr. * 27 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 13 10 -
Kenny Goins * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Cassius Winston 13 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 5 0 -
Matt Van Dyk 12 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
Nick Ward 12 4-7 0-0 1-3 10 0 0 3 1 9 14 -
Joshua Langford 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Alvin Ellis III 9 0-2 0-2 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Kyle Ahrens 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter