Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Walton Jr. * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 36 | - |
| D.J. Wilson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Zak Irvin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Moritz Wagner * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Duncan Robinson | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mark Donnal | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Zavier Simpson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Teske | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ibi Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 33 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter