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2017-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +11 (90-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stevens * 33 3-10 0-2 3-3 4 4 2 2 3 9 8 -
T. Carr * 31 2-13 0-3 2-4 5 7 0 1 2 6 4 -
M. Watkins * 30 8-8 0-0 1-1 12 2 0 2 1 17 24 -
J. Reaves * 28 10-12 3-4 2-2 5 5 2 1 1 25 25 -
S. Garner * 23 3-12 2-10 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 8 3 -
P. Banks 27 2-9 2-7 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 7 -3 -
J. Moore 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
I. Washington 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Bohannon * 30 3-9 2-6 3-4 1 5 0 0 5 11 3 -
Peter Jok * 21 6-12 4-5 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 21 10 -
Tyler Cook * 20 5-8 0-0 1-1 10 2 0 1 2 11 14 -
Isaiah Moss * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
Dale Jones * 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Cordell Pemsl 26 6-9 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 1 14 13 -
Ahmad Wagner 23 1-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 2 0 0 3 4 -
Nicholas Baer 23 7-10 4-4 2-3 10 2 2 0 1 20 23 -
Brady Ellingson 22 1-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 2 -
Christian Williams 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 6 0 0 0 2 10 -
Dom Uhl 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Kriener 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter