Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✗ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -15 (62-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Snider * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Adel * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| V.J. King * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Spalding * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 33 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| J. Johnson | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Hicks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Levitch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Stockman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach McRoberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Blackmon * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Thomas Bryant * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Josh Newkirk * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 24 | 1-13 | 0-8 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | - |
| De'Ron Davis * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Morgan | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| OG Anunoby | 30 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Freddie McSwain | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter