Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.8% | 91.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +23 (91-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Morgan * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Black * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Lucas | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Nichols | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Finke | 16 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Thorne Jr. | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Tate | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Austin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Mathias * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Carsen Edwards * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 22 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Basil Smotherman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grady Eifert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tommy Luce | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jon McKeeman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter